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UFC 306: Sportsbook Bets

Ignacio Bahamondes OVER 37.5 Significant Strikes (-115)


Manuel Torres is set to face Ignacio Bahamondes in what promises to be an exciting fight, however long it lasts. The matchmakers have crafted a thrilling contest by pairing two rising strikers, both capable of finishing the fight.


Let’s start with Manuel Torres. He boasts a 15-2 record, with 14 of those wins coming by first-round finish. In fact, he's only gone beyond the first round once in his career. Torres is known for his aggressive style, constantly pressing forward and swinging for a quick knockout. His weakness is harder to pinpoint due to limited fight footage, as his fights end so early. From what we’ve seen, he tends to keep his chin up and takes hits early on, though he’s been able to overcome this with his offensive firepower. Another concern is his untested stamina, as we’ve rarely seen him fight past the opening round.


On the other side is Ignacio Bahamondes, a fighter who is developing right in front of our eyes. He’s a large, rangy striker for the division, showing consistent improvement with every outing. Bahamondes uses his reach effectively to keep opponents at a distance while maintaining a high-volume striking pace throughout the fight. His main flaw is his defense; he’s been hit more than one would like, which is concerning given he’s facing a dangerous finisher like Torres. Though Bahamondes will be the bigger fighter, he has absorbed significant strikes from smaller opponents in the past, raising questions about how he'll handle Torres' power.


With that in mind, my preferred bet for this fight is Bahamondes landing over 37.5 significant strikes. His style revolves around consistent volume rather than loading up for a knockout, which means he’s likely to pile up strikes over time. He’ll also be Torres’ toughest and most durable opponent yet. The key factor here is Bahamondes’ ability to survive the first round, something he’s proven capable of in previous fights. He’s never been knocked down or finished, so I believe he can weather the early storm and land at least 38 significant strikes, making this my top pick for the night.

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