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UFC FN 242: Burns vs. Brady

Andre Lima OVER 58.5 Significant Strikes @ -115

Felipe dos Santos excels in offensive wrestling, while Andre Lima is likely the superior striker. That said, the fight appears to be quite competitive, with both fighters being BJJ Black Belts who are capable of getting back to their feet if taken down.


My top prop bet is on Andre Lima landing OVER 58.5 significant strikes. Dos Santos is aggressive and willing to engage, but his striking defense is poor at just 40%, leaving him open to shots. On the other hand, Lima is precise, often targeting with leg kicks.


The odds also suggest this fight is likely to go the distance at -175, or at least last long enough for Lima to land 59 significant strikes, making this my favorite prop bet of the night.

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