NASCAR Xfinity Series is in Miami this week as they are racing at Homestead with only 3 races left in the season. Homestead has some of the best racing of any track as the high tire wear lets drivers run different lanes all over the track. One thing we should expect are 4 tire pit stops at every opportunity as tires will be at a premium as laps are run throughout the race.
Potential Dominators
Aric Almirola
Cole Custer
Chandler Smith
Riley Herbst
Almirola looked really good in practice and was the fastest on 5 and 10 lap averages. He has the experience at this track and is in one of the best cars which should make him one of the top contenders this week and should be a threat to win. Custer was the fastest car here last year and he should be one of the better cars again this week. He was fast in practice and knows how to get around this track. I expect him to run up front throughout the race and contend for the win. Smith went out and got the pole for the race so he should have the opportunity to lead early laps. He didn't make a real long run in practice but he was 3rd in 5 lap averages and I expect him to be good in the race as well. Herbst looked like one of the fastest cars in practice and especially on the long run. He was fastest on the 15 lap average and seemed to have really good long run speed in his car. He should be good in the race and have a chance to run up front all day.
Place Differential Plays
Austin Hill
Connor Zilisch
Brandon Jones
Ryan Sieg
Shane Van Gisbergen
Hill was solid in practice but starts back in 16th so he has some room to move forward in the race. I don't see him being a top contender this week so he may be too expensive to be worth the points he will get you, but he is at least an option to consider. Zilisch has been one of the most impressive young drivers in recent memory with just a few starts under his belt but already a win and a top 5. He had speed in practice so I am not going to count him out this week and I think he is a usable options for the race. Jones had top 10 speed in practice and starts back in 20th. He has good place differential potential and I think he will be a popular play this week because of it. Sieg has been knocking on the door of his first win with another 2nd last week but the good news is that we are going to another 1.5 mile track this week. He had close to top 5 speed in lap averages and I would not be surprised to see him up there again this week. He starts back in 17th so he has some solid place differential points to gain. SVG has not been a great qualifier this year but he has been solid in the race on all tracks. He starts back in 25th but I expect him to move forward throughout the race and he should have a chance at a top 15 by the end of the day.
Cheap Options
Matt Dibenedetto
Kyle Weatherman
Kyle Sieg
Blaine Perkins
Ryan Ellis
Dibenedetoo will be a popular play this week as he starts dead last due to failing inspection before practice so he was not allowed to qualify. This gives him huge place differential upside and is a great option with their being limited cheap plays this week. Weatherman does not have as much upside as you would like this week starting 21st but I do not think there are a lot of trustworthy options below him. I think he can run in the high teens and be a solid value this week. Sieg has a little more place differential potential starting 27th and he had some solid lap time in practice. The hope is he can run around 20th or so which would make him a good play for DFS. Perkins and Ellis are solid flier plays that start back in the 30s. The hope is they can stay on the lead lap early and if we get some wrecks they could end up with good finishes.
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