Xfinity Series Las Vegas Fall DFS Picks

The Xfinity Series is getting into the last stretch of the season as they head to Las Vegas to race on the 1.5 mile oval with only 4 races left on the season. This is the first race of the final round of the playoffs before the final Championship race in Phoenix. NASCAR races on a lot of 1.5 mile tracks throughout the season so we have a good amount of data to go off of from races earlier in the year and when they raced here at Las Vegas in the spring.

Potential Dominators

Cole Custer

Sammy Smith

Riley Herbst

Justin Allgaier

Brandon Jones

I think there are a lot of drivers this week that could run well and be the front runners throughout the race. Custer is one of the safer options as he was fastest in 10 lap averages in practice and finished 2nd here in the spring. He starts on the front row and should have the chance to get the lead early and lead a good chunk of the race. Sammy Smith was a bit of surprise in practice as he was one of the fastest cars and he has struggled on 1.5 mile tracks this season. He starts up front and will need to be one of the best cars to have a chance to make a run at the Championship. I have some concerns with his speed translating to the race but he is a solid value and it is hard to ignore the speed he had in lap averages in practice. Herbst won this race last season as this is one of his best tracks and it looked like he had speed in practice as well. He could be a contender to run in the top 5 and have a chance at dominator points throughout the race.

It is hard to count out Justin Allgaier and Chandler Smith any week as they have been two of the best cars this season. They were not flashy in practice but they were solid. I slightly prefer Allgaier as I think he will be better on the long run in the race, but both have had speed on 1.5 mile tracks this season and are usable options for DFS.

Jones was one of the other fastest cars in practice and then went and backed it up by getting the pole in qualifying. However, we have seen this from Jones before, he has qualified on the front row a lot this season and laid an egg in the race. I kinda expect the same from him this week, so my use of him in my lineups will be limited. But he was fast and there is a chance he keeps the lead for a while and is a contender in the race.

Place Differential Plays

Sheldon Creed

Austin Hill

Taylor Gray

Daniel Dye

Creed had to change engines after practice so he starts dead last since he did not qualify. He should easily be a top 10 car and will be close to a must use in lineups for this slate. His huge place differential potential will make him the highest owned driver on this slate. Hill did not look great in practice and qualified back in 17th as well. You have to expect this playoff team will improve a lot in the race and if they can find the speed they should have he could be a good place differential option. Gray is a bit of a risky play as he starts 13th but he had top 5 speed in practice and I think he could be a great value at his salary if he can run in the top 5 in the race. Dye got loose on his qualifying lap so he starts back in 30th. He is in good Kaulig equipment so he should have top 15 potential for the race.

Cheap Options

Kyle Weatherman

Brennan Poole

JJ Yeley

Leland Honeyman

Ryan Ellis

Weatherman was solid in practice like he seems to be most weeks. He starts 27th and he should be able to run around the top 20 in the race if he doesnt have any issues making him a solid play at his salary. Poole starts a little farther back in 32nd and he finished in the top 20 here in the Spring. He is usually a threat for a top 20 and he should be solid again this week and be a good place differential play. Yeley and Honeyman might go a little overlooked as they start a little higher up than they usually do. They both had solid speed in practice with Yeley 23rd in 5 lap averages and Honeyman was 16th in 5 lap averages. Honeyman also had one of his better finishes on the year at Las Vegas in the spring finishing 18th. Ellis is a solid flier play as he starts back in 34th and should have a solid place differential opportunity as he should have top 25 potential for the race.

Bonus Plays:

I also don't mind Parker Kligerman and Ryan Sieg in this race. They both had top 10 speed in practice but start around 10th as well. They are priced pretty well around 8k on Draftkings so if they can run top 10 and potentially sneak into a top 5 at the end of the race they could be solid value plays. Their starting spots will likely keep their ownerships down as well, using one of them can give you the opportunity to have a more balanced lineup.

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